tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19673832.post6343400938969811163..comments2023-11-02T06:10:29.606-07:00Comments on Atmospheric Insights: Update – Bear Atmosphere Stimulus???Ed Berryhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00969068496887623697noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19673832.post-9092106065107784642008-10-31T16:50:00.000-07:002008-10-31T16:50:00.000-07:00Hello Snowman and Steve,Thank you for the positive...Hello Snowman and Steve,<BR/><BR/>Thank you for the positive feedback. For lots of reasons uncertainty for the outcome of DJFM may be higher than "usual". The CPC temperature forecasts are largely from their consolidation tool while I am using information derived from subseasonal dynamics to offer hopefully useful speculation (at this point). <BR/><BR/>A La-Nina global (not based on Nino 3.4, etc.) circulation base state favors anomalous midlatitude ridges including the central/east Pacific Ocean. That suggests western USA troughs shifting into the Plains along a SW flow storm track. However, this can be variable. The 2007-08 boreal winter was exceptional for persistence particularly JFM. At times, much of western and northern Europe can be hammered with troughs coming off the Atlantic Ocean during a La-Nina base state. <BR/><BR/>Ed BerryEd Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00969068496887623697noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19673832.post-6151205804286943592008-10-30T08:02:00.000-07:002008-10-30T08:02:00.000-07:00Great work, as usual!!I have 2 questions: given th...Great work, as usual!!<BR/><BR/>I have 2 questions: <BR/>given the "tilt toward a La-Nina seasonal base state", which kind of winter Weather Regime (Robertson and Ghil) do you think will be the dominant one over the North Pacific / North America sector next winter? <BR/>And what is your opinion on Euro-atlantic sector?<BR/><BR/>Thanks for your very interesting posts.<BR/><BR/>stevestevehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06785578425069827155noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19673832.post-75794495735391259142008-10-25T15:25:00.000-07:002008-10-25T15:25:00.000-07:00Hi Ed,You talk about the cold December being focus...Hi Ed,<BR/><BR/>You talk about the cold December being focused in the center of the country. Do you see anthing good for the Pacific Northwest. We have been waiting forever for a cold winter here. I notice the CPC shows us cold Jan - Mar which almost left me speechless!Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00888619348972375129noreply@blogger.com