tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19673832.post239051539802360001..comments2023-11-02T06:10:29.606-07:00Comments on Atmospheric Insights: Update from the Depths of Circulation HellEd Berryhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00969068496887623697noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19673832.post-18629979467885208072009-02-16T11:47:00.000-08:002009-02-16T11:47:00.000-08:00Hi Greg,Thank you for the comment! I hope at some...Hi Greg,<BR/><BR/>Thank you for the comment! I hope at some point our information can be shared much more efficiently. <BR/><BR/>Regards,<BR/>EdEd Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00969068496887623697noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19673832.post-12844406898717069982009-02-14T18:56:00.000-08:002009-02-14T18:56:00.000-08:00Just wanted to say thank you for the continued upd...Just wanted to say thank you for the continued updates. I know you take time out of your busy schedule to keep some of us up to date with the state of our atmospheric patterns.Greghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01178598985507215566noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19673832.post-3949798390011227462009-02-13T12:17:00.000-08:002009-02-13T12:17:00.000-08:00Hello Moh'dThank you for staying in touch incl...Hello Moh'd<BR/><BR/>Thank you for staying in touch including the update on your weather. I think the dust storm your referred to was mentioned in the latest WMO news including Doha, Qatar (?). The satellite imagery has shown some impressive storms tracking across the Mediterranean Sea for at least the past several days. <BR/><BR/>The recent SSW continues to impact the troposphere, constructively interfering with La-Nina (in this case). I think the global circulation is in a relatively coupled quasi-stationary La-Nina base state. <BR/><BR/>Unlike a year ago, the eastern tropical Atlantic SSTs are not excitingly warm (totals generally <29C). Hence I would not expect a lot of tropical forcing there (very intense in that region a year ago; Atlantic El-Nino?). <BR/><BR/>The gist is you folks should see more of the same the next couple of weeks, keeping in mind the unpredictable synoptic details. A full latitude ridge may wobble ~20W with the downstream trough axis ~20E. Storms should dig into the Mediterranean then head east toward your region. Tied to La-Nina, the most robust trough-ridge-trough pattern is likely to become established from Asia to North America, with a weaker response across the Atlantic Ocean sector. It would not surprise me to see the storm track remain anomalously south in your region going into March. <BR/><BR/>Take care,<BR/>EdEd Berryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00969068496887623697noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19673832.post-82216266984830556552009-02-13T06:49:00.000-08:002009-02-13T06:49:00.000-08:00Hi Ed,Its Moh'd Al-Shaker again from the Middle Ea...Hi Ed,<BR/>Its Moh'd Al-Shaker again from the Middle East (Jordan).<BR/><BR/> Last week, we had a very strong low pressure system, exactly on Tuesday/Wednesday 10-11/2/2009.<BR/><BR/> This low pressure track was northern African Coast (rare for this time), so the warm front brought temperatures about 25c in Amman (14c Above the daily average), and in the second day we had a very severe weather, with drastic and dramatic drop on the temperatures, and it was in Amman just 10c. Very heavy rain, with strong thunderstorms, large hail reported mostly everywhere in Jordan, and Snow fell above 1200meters (we have mountains in Jordan above 1400meters, while Amman average heights is 850meters AMSL).<BR/><BR/> Also, as this low pressure was very deep, strong gale force winds blow before the entering of the cold front causing wild dust storms in Jordanian deserts, and later on these dust stroms gatherd to be a large one, hitting northern Saudi Arabia and all the Gulf areas with visibility down to 0 in those areas.<BR/><BR/> NWP is pointing something very nice next week especailly on next Friday, and I think it's something could be major, I'm still monitoring, and I'll keep you update. But, still our (Middle East) problem for this year causing the drought is the "inactive" Atlantic, because if any acitivty will establish in the Atlantic the high pressure over Western Europe will get stronger pushing the wave towards eastern Europe and also the Middle East. <BR/>I have a question, do you think that the atlantic could carry some activtiy in the next weeks, and what is your thoughts about the european regions?<BR/><BR/> I will be your reporter here always :)<BR/>Thanks Ed,<BR/>Yours Moh'd Al-ShakerJordanWeather Forecasters Teamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15638618469415622963noreply@blogger.com